Thomas Welstead and Mary Matthews (80%) 

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Parents            See research notes      

Thomas Welstead (m Mary Matthews 1701 St Edmunds Salisbury Wiltshire)
    Moses Welstead (b 1709 Bemerton Wiltshire)
    Mary Welstead (b 1710 Bemerton , m  James Haytor 1734 Fisherton Anger Wiltshire)
        Elizabeth Haytor (b 1744 Wilton, m  John Davis 1763 Winterbourne Dauntsey Wiltshire)
            Benjamin Davis (b 1769 Winterbourne Earls, m Ann Yates 1791 Winterbourne Earls, d 1856 Winterbourne Earls)      
                Joshua Davis (b 1801 Salsbury Wiltshire, m Pamela Bowles 1823 St Edmunds Salisbury Wiltshire, d 1888 Braidwood NSW)
                     Thirza Davis (b 1824 Winterbourne Dauntsey, m John Josiah Marshall  1845 Winterbourne Dauntsey, d 1890)
                        Emily Christina Virginia Marshall (b 1858 Wilton Wiltshire, m  Thomas Henry Smalley 1876 West Melb Vic, d 1923 Preston Vic)
                            Herbert Oscar Smalley (b1878 Brunswick, Vic, m Annie Tippett 1908 North Fitzror, Vic, d  1960  Preston Vic)
    Richard Welstead (b 1713 Bemerton)
    Elizabeth Welstead (b 1714 Bemerton)
    Moses Welstead (b 1717 Bemerton)
    James Welstead (b 1718 Bemerton)
 
Winterbourne Earls is 2 miles NE of Salisbury,
Wilton is about 5 miles from  Winterbourne Earls
Fisherton Anger is now in Salisbury (between the railway station and the centre)
Bemerton now looks as if it has been absorbed in Salisbury.

Acknowledgemnts

The extensive Davis genealogy  back to the sixteenth century has been obtained from  FamilySearch, the Latter Day Saints site.
This was complemented by data from  Robyn Lanham, Dave Lawrence  and Louise Cunningham

Research Notes

The marriage of  Thomas Welstead and Mary Matthews is in the right place and the only one in LDS - it is just a bit early. Perhaps there is a patch of missing baptisms. Anyway, drop it to 80% probability.  As this is the second 80% in the chain, probably time to call a halt. However there is a very plausible Thomas Welstead born in 1676  in Whiteparish Wiltshire and christened in Downton (both about seven miles SE of Salisbury). His parents were Thomas Welstead and Mary Whealdon. There is a family of  Welsteads in the LDS in Whiteparish/Downton in the early 1600s  Mary Whealon was born in Whiteparish in 1650, no parents given 
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